Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 12.868579 14.742967 16.742761 19.029304 21.565328 24.285807 27.418686
2025-11-02 9.955683 12.426233 15.243098 18.670341 22.704053 27.276723 32.827064
2025-11-09 8.127286 10.849713 14.117389 18.283997 23.407263 29.450835 37.064440
2025-11-16 6.825522 9.663597 13.224624 17.949209 23.973753 31.315407 40.845302
2025-11-23 5.733638 8.577159 12.294692 17.408455 24.145191 32.593839 43.850548
2025-11-30 5.086532 7.989125 11.923007 17.505763 25.066965 34.781014 48.007291
2025-12-07 4.537353 7.464380 11.568158 17.563074 25.891398 36.827501 52.010439
2025-12-14 4.109891 7.061753 11.333017 17.740796 26.850464 39.050099 56.283873
2025-12-21 3.699684 6.635979 11.018032 17.763337 27.566907 40.942838 60.149448
2025-12-28 3.455144 6.439103 11.015502 18.220051 28.892925 43.689602 65.233883
2026-01-04 3.202314 6.199906 10.922981 18.523743 29.993982 46.142655 69.970340
2026-01-11 2.924538 5.888375 10.688534 18.586607 30.728191 48.085016 74.033575
2026-01-18 2.560078 5.392310 10.125590 18.110967 30.643320 48.864598 76.502100
2026-01-25 2.264486 4.984999 9.672152 17.771728 30.735407 49.886701 79.330341
2026-02-01 1.998480 4.600378 9.222113 17.400812 30.745917 50.769225 81.959177
2026-02-08 1.771291 4.262278 8.821864 17.079343 30.805596 51.708936 84.677479
2026-02-15 1.541473 3.889666 8.326956 16.560193 30.512802 52.088753 86.555058
2026-02-22 1.419800 3.725039 8.195457 16.653604 31.209746 53.993815 90.757864
2026-03-01 1.304772 3.560443 8.049488 16.708623 31.837892 55.801548 94.849003
2026-03-08 1.213837 3.437838 7.972799 16.879243 32.659694 57.928544 99.472686
2026-03-15 1.114494 3.283507 7.820936 16.900883 33.223281 59.654713 103.510546
2026-03-22 1.066404 3.243948 7.893943 17.339408 34.514816 62.574706 109.469207
2026-03-29 1.007073 3.169902 7.890346 17.631050 35.557179 65.114592 114.882530